![]() Erika still has a chance as mentioned earlier of fizzling out over the next two days or so. Meanwhile, five days turns into four, and we can make a better guess as to what the storm will do. Otherwise, it is just an Atlantic tropical storm that will likely become a hurricane. That is historically interesting, but just as a coincidence, because ten years ago Katrina did the same thing. ![]() Second, this particular storm had a somewhat unusual prediction of being a TS until about landfall in Florida, when it would quickly strengthen to a hurricane. The original point of discussing Erika here was two part. It is as though those who wish to deny the importance of climate and weather, and changes therein, would prefer we not speak of tropical storms. (Latest map added to the top of the post, Thursday evening.)įirst, I would like to note that there has been an odd reaction in various quarters to me posting on this storm. The alternative is that after Erika finishes its pass over Hispaniola it will strengthen and curve to the north sooner and remain in the Atlantic. (Note also that the image at the top of the post is the most current NWS forecast.) This is completely different than the most likely scenario late yesterday, which had Erika reaching hurricane strength near Florida, but staying in the Atlantic but with the possibility of menacing the Atlantic coast somewhere. The somewhat more likely scenario is now that Erika will not form into a hurricane at all, but remain as a tropical storm, and pass along the east side of the Florida peninsula, or in the eastern Gulf of Mexico, or possibly pass over land staying mostly in Florida. It should be Frankenstorm.Įrika is changing, and the forecast is changing. If Erika, this year's Atlantic "E" storm, does regenerate into a named storm, it should take the next letter, "F" but instead of Fred they should use a more appropriate name for a reanimated storm. Hurricane Center unless regeneration occurs." The latest update from the NWS says, "this will be the last advisory on this system by the National degenerated into a trough of low pressure." When the Hurricane Prediction Center woke up this morning, they found Erika, ripped asunder by the rugged terrain of Hispaniola, to have ". Erika is a cartoon dead eye (see graphic above). The residents of Petite Savanne will be resettled to Bellevue Chopin, but no timeframe has been set for the completion of the building.Erika is now an ex-tropical storm. The government is in the process of building new homes for the 39 families in Dubique, with the expectation that the relocation will take place by April 2016. As of 25 September 2015, damage and losses were estimated at EC$1.3 billion (US$483 million) or 90 per cent of the country’s gross domestic product (GDP).The communities of Petite Savanne and Dubique were hardest hit with all residents being evacuated to guest houses and community centres. ( IFRC, )įourteen people were reported dead, 16 missing, 574 rendered homeless and 1,034 people evacuated due to the unsafe conditions in their communities. Than twelve hours and triggered massive flooding and several landslides. ![]() A band of torrential rain caused by the system resulted in the 6 to 8 inches of rainfall in less The island of Dominica sustained significant damage due to the passage of Tropical Storm Erika on 28 August. There are reports of casualties and damage to infrastructure: 25-30 persons presumed missing in the north-eastern and south-eastern areas of Dominica. Preliminary reports indicate that there has been significant rainfall in Dominica that has resulted in flooding and landslides. Tropical Storm watches have been issued for the Southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands. On 27 Aug at 2.00pm Tropical Storm warnings remained in effect for the following countries: Anguilla, British Virgin Islands, Montserrat and St. Erika, the fifth named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, formed on 24 August, 2015. ![]()
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